Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 3.055033 3.527237 4.044853 4.653907 5.350507 6.121938 7.040630
2025-02-09 2.387664 3.002993 3.733490 4.662976 5.812537 7.185995 8.949932
2025-02-16 1.917217 2.600471 3.470513 4.655947 6.225142 8.226980 10.970275
2025-02-23 1.522519 2.212118 3.147905 4.504170 6.412443 8.993594 12.740792
2025-03-02 1.205431 1.865805 2.815748 4.272428 6.438779 9.528222 14.252403
2025-03-09 1.026133 1.682309 2.677441 4.283126 6.792997 10.545801 16.556219
2025-03-16 0.856547 1.482347 2.479638 4.167232 6.930249 11.246803 18.462152
2025-03-23 0.787931 1.431714 2.504387 4.398564 7.630698 12.880871 21.995768
2025-03-30 0.714014 1.358798 2.479368 4.539282 8.193476 14.349990 25.423590
2025-04-06 0.631410 1.256298 2.387135 4.547508 8.524695 15.462276 28.367167
2025-04-13 0.529713 1.101465 2.178350 4.315177 8.394924 15.757640 29.910258
2025-04-20 0.490113 1.060345 2.173593 4.458837 8.966039 17.350081 33.942226
2025-04-27 0.468727 1.054965 2.241025 4.759119 9.887797 19.716983 39.735019
2025-05-04 0.428680 1.004112 2.210905 4.861186 10.435755 21.443013 44.510618
2025-05-11 0.388643 0.946686 2.158919 4.910594 10.882842 23.022055 49.176964
2025-05-18 0.339638 0.860624 2.033115 4.784288 10.945768 23.837010 52.389631
2025-05-25 0.290469 0.765525 1.872883 4.557985 10.760826 24.113701 54.502717
2025-06-01 0.264412 0.722503 1.825318 4.581061 11.129926 25.598497 59.349827
2025-06-08 0.233121 0.660774 1.724449 4.464314 11.163703 26.355834 62.683199
2025-06-15 0.225626 0.660382 1.772999 4.715820 12.092152 29.202354 71.003439
2025-06-22 0.213380 0.645017 1.781708 4.868986 12.801578 31.622191 78.594639
2025-06-29 0.195542 0.610896 1.737073 4.879430 13.159235 33.258062 84.516267
2025-07-06 0.168783 0.546137 1.601500 4.631765 12.831690 33.223302 86.426747